1: ¿How do you see the chances of a conflict in Ethiopia (or near by) in a short-middle future?
I say it, because taking a look inside the country we can see a lot of conflicts and an increase (or at least, not expected decrease after war) of violence from ethnics groups. The killings are frequent, and the support of the amharics armed groups hat helped the government in the previous war has been lost. Now, even this groups has taken a position against the central government and are added to the already existents. Also, the porblem of food stills on the country and it is huge and terrible, especially, in the Tigray region, that is not in peace and could experience a reflorishment of conflict. The transports and logistics are been affected, for what I know, there are kidnappings, thiefs and roads thare not been used. In relation with this and knowing a bit about Africa, is not weird or catastrophistic to think of a transfer of the militar state personal to those groups, or maybe the adoption of certain practices like extorsion, pression, etc... that later can increase to something else.
Also, and maybe because all of this, the government is being critized, especially on the regions. We must remember that the "emergency state" is keep ruling.
Also, if we take a look outside, we can see the neighbours in Sudan (where,I think, the United Arab Emirates are also smelling) and the civil war. We can remember all the issues with the Renaissence Dam and the hostility with Sudan and Egypt about it. Finally, the attempt for find a open way to the sea has created the conflict with Somalia, that has provocated a reject from the african countries, and now the support of a big player in the game like Turkey (if we look the religious sphere of the issue, we can see and isolated Ethiopia).
Honestly, I don't know how to look this, because I understansd the needs of sea acces for the country if wants to grow, but looking the internal situation is to add a new "enemy and problem" to the current state of things. However, knowing how the mind of politics works, it is probable that an external goal and threat (both) could distract or cohesion (both) the population.
2: Regarding to China, I ask you: ¿those needs of public relations are directed to who, and why?
I understand that China is interested in open the eyes to the western population that are being manipulated and think that China is the evil, in order to avoid the predictable intentions of the United States in the region: making of Taiwan a new Ukraine in order to damage China. I mean, probably they want to improve their image in order that create a possible oposition of the population of this western countries when the more belicist and anti-chinese try to mobilize the population.
I also can be a version of this directed to the population of the neighbour conuntrys that could be also influenced by the same message.
Further from this, I can not see any other "target" from these improve of public relations. I mean, a part from the need of every institution of selling and give a good image from itself. Because chinese knows how to use diplomacy and business, and the countries of the Global South, like the businessman, know that their relation is build on interest, and they don't need to like each other, just take profit and benefit.
That make me think that is a need for counterfact the attacs to China image that come from our part of the world, like the armamentistic grow for a country after another did the same.
All of this, of course, asuming that we talk from and improve of publir relation directed to outside China.
Thanks, and sorry for my english, I've made my best.
1: ¿How do you see the chances of a conflict in Ethiopia (or near by) in a short-middle future?
I say it, because taking a look inside the country we can see a lot of conflicts and an increase (or at least, not expected decrease after war) of violence from ethnics groups. The killings are frequent, and the support of the amharics armed groups hat helped the government in the previous war has been lost. Now, even this groups has taken a position against the central government and are added to the already existents. Also, the porblem of food stills on the country and it is huge and terrible, especially, in the Tigray region, that is not in peace and could experience a reflorishment of conflict. The transports and logistics are been affected, for what I know, there are kidnappings, thiefs and roads thare not been used. In relation with this and knowing a bit about Africa, is not weird or catastrophistic to think of a transfer of the militar state personal to those groups, or maybe the adoption of certain practices like extorsion, pression, etc... that later can increase to something else.
Also, and maybe because all of this, the government is being critized, especially on the regions. We must remember that the "emergency state" is keep ruling.
Also, if we take a look outside, we can see the neighbours in Sudan (where,I think, the United Arab Emirates are also smelling) and the civil war. We can remember all the issues with the Renaissence Dam and the hostility with Sudan and Egypt about it. Finally, the attempt for find a open way to the sea has created the conflict with Somalia, that has provocated a reject from the african countries, and now the support of a big player in the game like Turkey (if we look the religious sphere of the issue, we can see and isolated Ethiopia).
Honestly, I don't know how to look this, because I understansd the needs of sea acces for the country if wants to grow, but looking the internal situation is to add a new "enemy and problem" to the current state of things. However, knowing how the mind of politics works, it is probable that an external goal and threat (both) could distract or cohesion (both) the population.
2: Regarding to China, I ask you: ¿those needs of public relations are directed to who, and why?
I understand that China is interested in open the eyes to the western population that are being manipulated and think that China is the evil, in order to avoid the predictable intentions of the United States in the region: making of Taiwan a new Ukraine in order to damage China. I mean, probably they want to improve their image in order that create a possible oposition of the population of this western countries when the more belicist and anti-chinese try to mobilize the population.
I also can be a version of this directed to the population of the neighbour conuntrys that could be also influenced by the same message.
Further from this, I can not see any other "target" from these improve of public relations. I mean, a part from the need of every institution of selling and give a good image from itself. Because chinese knows how to use diplomacy and business, and the countries of the Global South, like the businessman, know that their relation is build on interest, and they don't need to like each other, just take profit and benefit.
That make me think that is a need for counterfact the attacs to China image that come from our part of the world, like the armamentistic grow for a country after another did the same.
All of this, of course, asuming that we talk from and improve of publir relation directed to outside China.
Thanks, and sorry for my english, I've made my best.